Latest Insights

Despite a slowdown in construction and new supply, Houstona€™s retail market remained active in 2024, with major retailers expanding their presence. Construction in 4Q24 dropped to its lowest post-pandemic level at 3.0 million SF, marking a 31.7% decline from the previous year. Annual absorption hit a record low of 1.8 million SF, while total deliveries for the year reached 3.2 million SF. Retail giants like Costco, HEB, and Home Depot continued growing, each adding two new locations. The vacancy rate held steady at 5.4%, slightly above last yeara€™s level. Meanwhile, rental rates rose 2.5% to $24.03 PSF, and leasing volume increased 2.4% to 8.3 million SF.

The Houston region land market slowed in 4Q23 while developers are busy getting residential lots on the ground for the next two years. Developers are the most active buyers in the land market right now as the demand for master planned communities and commercial sites is picking up. Therefore, it truly is a developera€™s market. The total number of single-family home sales amounted to 6,103 in December 2023, marking a decrease of 6.2% compared to December 2022. This decline came after a note-worthy 4.7 percent increase in sales volume in November, which marked the first positive trend in homes sales in 19 months. As development projects complete in the next few years, it will be interesting to see how this will affect home sales with more homes coming on the market.

The Houston Retail market continues to be the healthiest of Houstona€™s commercial real estate markets. The overall vacancy rate has remained steady quarter to quarter, ranging from 4.8% to 5.1%. Additionally, as of 4Q23, Houston recorded a total absorption of 2.8 million SF over the past 12 months. This absorption was predominantly concentrated in the general retail sector (1.8 million SF) and neighborhood center segment (120,000 SF). Because of this, Houston secured the second position nationally in terms of new demand during this period. As the year progresses, we should see more space being absorbed and demand continue to heighten.